Arina Rodionova vs Martina Okalova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance over the last six months shows Rodionova winning 40% of points, slightly higher than Okalova at 38.75%. Could this give Rodionova an edge?
• In return games, Okalova has been more successful, winning 54.81% of opponent's second serve points compared to Rodionova's 48.82%.
• When facing first serves, Okalova again outperforms Rodionova with a return win rate of 40.46% compared to 35.92%.
• Under pressure, Rodionova demonstrates resilience by saving 48.01% of breakpoints, exceeding Okalova's 43.67%.
• Both players have won approximately 50% of their matches over the past year, indicating a closely matched overall performance.
• Rodionova prefers Grass courts, with a 59% win rate, but struggles on Clay, while Okalova excels on Clay with a 60% win rate.
• At the ITF/Challenger level, Rodionova has a slight edge, winning 60% of matches, while Okalova has won 48.98% of her encounters.
• Historically, Rodionova has won all head-to-head encounters against Okalova, securing 4 out of 5 sets played.
• Rodionova has also shown better performance in extreme pressure situations, winning the only tiebreak they've contested.
• Rodionova faced slightly tougher competition, with an average opponent rank of 308.85 compared to Okalova's 332.08.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Okalova has a slight edge, winning 42% of previous deciding sets versus Rodionova's 37%.
• Okalova is more efficient in breaking opponents, converting 45.53% of breakpoints, compared to Rodionova's 42.62%.

Editorial Prediction (September 8, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Rodionova and Okalova promises to be a tightly contested affair. Rodionova's slightly better second serve performance and strong record in head-to-head matches give her a psychological advantage.

However, Okalova's superior return game, especially against first serves, could prove to be a significant factor. Her ability to convert breakpoints more efficiently also suggests that she may capitalize on opportunities more effectively.

Considering their past performance on different surfaces, Rodionova's strengths are best exhibited on Grass, whereas Okalova dominates on Clay. For this match, surface preference may not play a substantial role, but it remains a point worth noting.

While Rodionova has historically excelled under pressure against Okalova, the latter's better performance in recent deciding sets introduces a potential shift in the dynamics of this matchup.

Taking all factors into account, Okalova's slightly superior recent performance in key areas such as return games and breakpoints may tip the scales in her favor. Therefore, Okalova is predicted to be the likely winner of this match.